The Wizards’ fourth-year forward is posting career-best numbers across the board this season. ESPN’s Kevin Pelton, Kyle Soppe and Joe Kaiser debate whether he has peaked.
Because of back-to-backs (and one random rest day), Embiid missed 10 out of his first 33 games. That’s 30 percent of his production, right out the window.
Look at it in Player Rater terms. A 30 percent drop turns James Harden (19.48 points) into John Wall (13.31 points). It turns Rudy Gobert into Steven Adams. Marreese Speights into Luc Mbah a Moute.
The drop becomes more pronounced when you measure Embiid’s 2017 Player Rater average versus his season-long score. Based on his average, Embiid clocks in at 28th overall despite the minutes restriction. He generates 4.61 points on blocks alone. Beyond impressive.
But switch to the season-long Player Rater score. This score is tabulated in the aggregate across all games played … and missed.
If scoring becomes too easy, the NBA could always soften handcheck enforcement or give defenders the benefit of the doubt when airborne shooters leap into them.
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We’re not there yet — or even close. The league should set the record for scoring efficiency — but only by something like one or two points per 100 possessions. That’s meaningful, but not worth a red-alert examination of the game. Offense may vault even higher as more teams exchange midrange 2s for 3-pointers.
Game Mens Tyrell Williams Jersey There is a hard ceiling somewhere, and probably not too far from where the league is now. The game will still slow down in the playoffs, when teams have more time to scout. “Give a team seven games,” Thibodeau said, “and they can really lock into you.”